Sunday, May 22, 2011

Correlation Analysis

Our Correlation Analysis looks for previously stable quarterly Correlations of some significance (50%+) that see eratic changes during the last month.

Observations:
  • SPY, FXE, QQQ,FXA, FXI .......EURO, China, Cyclicals, Carry Trade increase their correlation during the consolidation
  • JPM's correlation weakens towards Safehavens like the TLT, JNJ
  • GOLD decouples from Silver

Conclusions:
  1. Correlations always move together in down markets which this Analysis seems to support
  2. The EURO or US$ will be th KINGPIN to watch
  3. The pure Inflation trade is off with Silver parting ways from GOLD

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