Saturday, August 13, 2011

Bounce reaches first target

Mr. Market follows our ROADMAP with eerie precision. As a target along the way we expected the market to fall through the airpocket and pause at the 38% retracement of the move since march 2009 (click on the ROADMAP link to see).

The tumble was one of the steepest in history (pls see our VIX_OSC) and has changed the character of the market earmarked by 90% up & down days in a back to back sequence. This can only be explained by lots of High Frequency Trading and disappearing liquidity.

The bounce now has shaped up in a symmetrically fashion with 2 x 71point rallies that carried the bounce right to the 38% Fibo level of the initial impulse down and also back up to the MAY 2011 High (see ROADMAP).

Next targets could be 1225 and 1250 or we could flip right here......

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