Saturday, July 28, 2012

The Heart of the rally: THE EURO BOUNCE

The we should expect vola from the premium structure in the FXE options.

 Our Trend Analysis supports the Vola view with an upside bias.
 Our TimeCycles model provides us with a timeframe of 1 month.
The Public Opinion view hints at a neg. Euro Sentiment in biblical prportions, a.k.a. 'concentrated short positions' that cry for a short covering rally as started on Thursday (chart is from Tuesday).

A monthlong Euro rally will support a broader rally in the entire RISK TRADE from Equities, Gold to rising yield with falling credit spreads.

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