Saturday, September 1, 2012

Mid September could become a crucial fork in the road


King Dollar who dominates or better leads the Risk Trade could give the Markets a boost for the next week or two....

 ....the Euro confirms 'tha' King...
 The Gold Miners would certainly try to capitalize on some sun on the risk trade....
....as would Gold, after the Monster Breakout.
 Silver follows Gold and should actually outperform the shiny metal for that period.
 Crude will follow the herd. (I'm not quite sure of we see that boost in October which tends to be a weaker period for Oil..)

.....but beware of the big bad wolf. The risk trade needs the VixOsc to regain the positive zone otherwise all bullish bets are off. Chances favor the bullish case but confirmation is required.

The most successfull models in our stable follow the VixOsc and all of them went short given the wiggle into the bear zone we observe below which reiterates the above that the bull case needs the bearish wiggle to be a fake out.




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