Monday, June 28, 2010

Mutual Fund, ETF Flows and Margin Debt update

Margin Debt Message:
  1. basic signal is bullish (positive ROC, still rising)
  2. ROC has reached a level where we either go parabolic (think 1995) or where the animal spirits get tired and that in turn will limit the move
  3. a lower (high) ROC reading could signal the turn

MUTUAL FUND FLOWS are negative...
...but shorter term trading vehicles like ETF are positive , which aligns with our MARGIN DEBT message.
The least we can say is that Mr. Market looks tired.

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