Sunday, September 6, 2009

SUSI WEEKLY UPDATE


OBSERVATIONS
  • We are entering the period of labor day to Option Expiration in September. You might have noticed that we further improved our TCS (TimeCycles) clustering in order to get to medium term high probability "action Zones". This is besides our traditional TCS model that has a longer time horiyon and is more geared towards patterns. Long story short, we see a series of TCS in various markets that cluster exactly around the next OX (Option Expiry). This could lead to increased Volatility.


  • Nat Gas is exhausting itsself and we simply have to watch the outcome

  • One of our basic concepts is to use the CTI(weekly) as a reality check against SUSI. It also acts as an intermediate Overbought/ Oversold Indicator. We observe a that most of the markets are in a CTI bearish position, which could limit the upside or signal downside

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